I might be wrong, but I personally think that the Wii will decline at a faster pace. This is because the Wii has been bought by the majority of the loyal nintendo buyers already. This puts the brunt of the sales demographic onto casuals. Casuals are a very unstable market, going from one big thing to the next big thing very quickly. And i think that may become a problem for the Wii. Afterall, 2007 has been proclaimed as the year of the wii by many major news networks.
also, i don't think the Wii has the longevity to sell at that rate in the next three or four years. The technological advancements that will be in the news in the next two or three years will put the Wii in a weird position. It might seem a little too "last generation", because of its graphics, lack of media capabilities, and dependence on 1st party games. (3rd party games will for the most part tank, except for a handful. Just look at no more heroes or zack and wiki. they are some of the most promising games on the Wii, but zack and wiki has not sold well, and no more heroes has been reported to have had a luke warm launch in Japan.) It is sold solely as a mostly casual games console, with its first party titles, while the ps3 will be sold not only as a games console, but as a media hub.
all in all, here is my bold prediction:
The Wii will never reach over 70 million consoles LTD by the end of this generation.
Sue me... >_
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