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Conegamer said:

NEVA UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF TEH PRICE CUT!

Also, Zelda release, good promotion and another strong holiday and I think it could just pip them. As long as it remains within 1.5mil of the PS3 and 1mil of the 360 by November, which it looks as though it will do comfortably, I think the Wii can get number 1 spot this year.

It's already down by 650k vs the PS3 (probably substantially more once the dust settles from adjustments).  It is down 1.34 million in shipments versus the 360.  It is going to need to make up quite a large amount in October/November to be that close in December.

Plus the PS3/360 will likely get price cuts, as well as a number of games during the holiday season.