"Analysts" predicted that the PSP will blow the DS out of the water, look where they are now. Same goes to the Wii, many public opinion polls shunned the system around 6 months before launch and right now, it's the best selling console.
The pick it up once in a while mentality is certainly true for the Wii. Just look at Sonic and the Secret Rings! The number of levels allow you to just randomly select one level and play it. Same goes for Super Mario Galaxy.
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