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CGI-Quality said:
BenVTrigger said:
CGI-Quality said:

Gears 3, & Halo game, Assassin's Creed (3?), and Mass Effect 3 will hardly be any competition for Uncharted 3 (Gears 3 & any Halo game especially, because they're on the 360 only). Call of Duty (I'm thinking Modern warfare 3) & Skyrim may be some competition, because CoD is CoD and this is the newest Elder Scrolls in 5 (plus) years.

That said, none of those games will have any significant impact on Uncharted 3's final tally. The only real threat to it not topping (or just clearing) UC2 is the timing of release.

Sorry CGI but I just don't agree at all.

Games that sell more than 7 million copies DO impact games around them for sure.  Fact is people only have so much money to spend on games.  Call of Duty substantially effects sales its already been proven by everyone running away from it during its launch time frame.  Assassins Creed is a bigger franchise than Uncharted is and is also an adventure game which will affect its sales, Ubisoft already confirmed a new Creed for the 4th quarter.  Gears and Halo may be exclusives but there are litteraly millions of multi-console owners.  Franchises that huge will sway some console owners to pick up Uncharted later.  Elder Scrolls and Mass Effect may not be as massive as the others but are still VERY strong competition.

And again I'm counting out even MORE games like Batman Arkham City which again is an adventure game which will influence sales as well as huge games like Battlefield 3.  I've been saying it for a while now, Quarter 4 is too big period.  The gaming public just can't support that many huge scale franchises at once. Someone is going to be hurt in sales I can promise you that. 

A. @ bolded: On PS3, Uncharted 2 has sold more than any Assassin's Creed game, so not quite.

B. Call of Duty may make an impact (which I said), but it won't be substantial.

C. Gears and Halo (also as I said) will do nothing to Uncharted 3. They just won't.

D. Being strong competition doesn't mean you instantly impact others in a critical way. Sure, anything can be competition, but anything won't be competition.

Like you, all I can do is speculate, but I stand by the assessment that outside of CoD and maybe Skyrim, I don't see Uncharted 3 affected by much else in any meaningful way.



So you can tell me in all honesty you think this lineup won't have an impact on someone's sales.  You believe that all these games will see similar levels of success all releasing in a VERY narrow window of time, but somehow people will generate enough money to see them all see simliar success rates or even better ones?

1.  Gears of War 3

2.  Uncharted 3

3.  Halo CE remake

4.  Call of Duty

5.  Batman Arkham City

6.  Mass Effect 3

7.  Elder Scrolls Skyrim

8.  Assassins Creed 3

9.  Battlefield 3

And that not even including games that may be announced at E3 or big franchises that will launch late in the year and will generate big legs throughout the holidays such as

10.  Forza 4

11.  Resistance 3

12.  Twisted Metal

13.  Kinect

14.  Possibly an NGP launch.

Sorry but quarter 4 is too big, in fact the largest in gameing history I believe in terms of software.  Someones sales, if not multiple franchises, will see lower at the very least initial sales.