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There isn`t much 3DS software out and the $250 price point is very steep. So I doubt it outsells the DS in 2011. Right now the diehard Nintendo hardcore and early adopters who want to play around with the glasses-free 3D tech are buying it. It`ll take awhile before it penetrates the soccer mom mass market. Though the 3DS is also getting sales from people that basically just want to play DS games (ie. Pokemon Black and White) as well. 3DS hardware is selling more than 3DS software.