| Conegamer said:
Because they aren't accurate? For Wii sales to continue logaritmically as you suggest, it would have to half its total every week from now until when you say it will reach your figures. Looking at the sales figures for this year, you'll see the Wii has levelled off now, decreasing a few k one week, up a few k the next. It isn't gonna half at all, no way. So you may think of them as reasonable, but look at the 360, a console Japan hates. You're saying the Wii will sell less than a tenth of it in less than 3 months? You'll see that putting things into perspective, they aren't so 'likely' or 'accurate' now |
If it were to halve its total every week it would hit 1103 in 3 weeks and 69 units in 7 weeks. That would be much sooner than he is predicting. Now I don't think that'll happen, but it wouldn't need to be that dramatic to hit 100 by September.
It would need to drop about 15% a week from now to the end of September to hit around 100. Dropping by 50% each week would put it at 1 unit a week after 3 months.
