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Nintendo - 3DS has a problem - View Post

Albion on 09 April 2011
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Games4Fun said:
Albion said:

3DS-NGP

This is essential the same battle the Wii just won against the PS3, but with a twist that Unlike the Wii the 3DS has a visual upgread with 3D. (a Curve ball to gain 3rd party)   I dont really think slaping 3D on A portable Wii is Non-Nintendo like is it? Really?

I think the 3DS will outsell the NGP just like the Wii outsold the PS3. I dont think the market has totaly turned head over heals in the last year.   so i expect the same results.

3DS price's and game price's will be the big factor of how many units they can sell in total.    The games are a none factor in my thought prosess cause i know this things not going to get few-er then the NGP.  

Didnt your other post say 3DS will do well but wont beat NDS? Im guessing its suppose to say outsell the NGP?

My other post in this thread said:

Albion on 2011-04-09 21:34

 

3DS has a few small flaws that will keep it from ever selling much more then 100 million units. 

It will remain market leader this gen though. (end)

 

But

 

It is posible the NGP beats Nintendo 3DS for market leadership.  Something like

NGP 100 million unit sold

3DS 80 million unit sold

 

But im basing this estimation, on things that have way to many  unknown then i care to have.  but still lets go down that road so now I have to  evaluated what  new competion may take. when I add that up.

NGP 85 million

3DS 75 million 

Thats on my assumption Iphone will disrupt Sony's NGP more then it will the 3DS based on Trends. I dont think Iphone will take over.

 

If NGP is the leader this  next gen.    Id say thats a fare gesstimation of what it may look like after 5 years.

 

Based on Sony's attitude and direction in the last 5 years i dont have much faith they can do with the NGP  what it needs for it to be a market leader.   If that prove's to be true.

Id say the NGP Could look like what the PSP is today.   after 5 years.

Nintendo wont sell more then 100 millon units, unless it seriously re-thinks it price's. the sooner they do the more chance they give themself to hit 120 milllion