2008 at Bruceongames

[Linkzmax]

So SNES owners didn't buy N64 and then Gamecube?
So Genesis owners didn't buy Saturn and then Dreamcast?

PSX got most of its sales thanks to its huge library. PS2 got most of its sales thank to its huge library an the fact that it doubled as a DVD player.

PS3 doubles as a Blu Ray player among other features, but so far it's lacking on the huge library of games that drew many consumers to the previous consoles. Yes it's still early in the lifetime, but due to increased development costs and times as well as a smaller PS3 install base than its competitors there will be fewer exclusives this time around.

The big name games you listed were only sold to a small amount of the total PS2 owners as Avinash pointed out. While they don't all sell to the same group, they aren't mutually exclusive either. There's a fair amount of overlap. While a lot of "hardcore" gamers bought PS2, the truth is PS2 sold to a LOT of casual gamers also. I think Avinash meant a lot of these casual gamers that bought the PS2 are now buying the Wii.

Also, while his prediction does seem a bit extrme, if the Wii continues to sell to new gamers, former gamers, and non-gamers then it could very well sell into the 200M+. I don't think it will at this point, but it's certainly possible.

2015 is a bit of a stretch for either the Wii or PS3 to be still in production. Do you honestly think Sony won't release a PS4 sometime between 2011 and 2013, or Microsoft an X720 for that matter which would force a new console by Sony? I mean if the Wii is going to need a successor when HD penetration really hits the mainstream, then won't graphics need to be pushed even further in another 4 or 5 years? There is no such thing as future-proof and 10-year cycles only exist as long as a console remains popular. Sony, nor Nintendo, nor Microsoft can force developers to continue bringing games to a console if the consumers are no longer buying games on that console.