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Depends when the PS3 get's there. If Nintendo or Micrsooft still has no new console out when the PS3 hits $199 then it's quite obvious whats going to happen to PS3. But if they do come out with a console you never know it could be like the Wii releasing at $249 that would really hurt PS3 sales. People would probably be more then likely to pick the next gen console over the current gen even if it's $50 bucks cheaper. So it depends, there's to many variables to consider.