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rocketpig said:
 

No, not really. Think about it this way:

Both Wii Fit and SSBB are going to sell extremely well. Anyone who would argue that is foolish.

They are going to sell to different demographics and markets in different degrees. I expected Wii Fit to sell extremely well in Japan (which it has) and I expect it to sell well in Europe and NA to lesser degrees.

I expect SSBB to sell very well in America, and to a lesser amount, the rest of the world. I could be wrong but that's how I see it.

Either way you put it, the Wii and it's ~20m userbase cannot handle two titles so vastly different selling 15m apiece, no matter how large it grows. Look at every other bit of history in the industry and NOTHING has had that kind of disparity in sales, demographic, and userbase.

Is the Wii different? Hell yeah, I think it is.

But it ain't that different.


 Well, okay. I look at it from a different viewpoint. The Wii userbase and these vastly different titles do seem to be a perfect storm that hasn't hit in quite this way to a console that is just over a year old. I think Japan is now showing that the percentage of cross-over in a household, or even the appeal of these titles to the same person (SSBB is sold-out on pre-orders, Wii Fit is selling out), is high. Given what the sales have been so far I'm expecting Wii Fit to sell to at least 15% of Wii owners by the end of the generation. So if your prediction of 7-8 million sales of Wii Fit were to be correct then I would expect the Wii to only sell ~60 million lifetime. So, details forthcoming in the forthcoming years.