fkusumot said:
I don't follow the merits of your reasoning. If supply constraint is going to limit sales of Wii Fit because of SSBB then I would guess you would also predict sales of SSBB to be limited in Japan because of the sales of Wii Fit. Your prediction of 7-8 million lifetime sales of Wii Fit because Nintendo can only sell 1.8 million consoles every month is odd. I thought at first you were suggesting that Wii Fit was selling great in Japan but that it had some certain appeal that wasn't going to translate to Western markets. Your comment about Japanese being willing to stand in line for a purchase and Westerners not being willing to do the same did sound facetious to me. |
No, not really. Think about it this way:
Both Wii Fit and SSBB are going to sell extremely well. Anyone who would argue that is foolish.
They are going to sell to different demographics and markets in different degrees. I expected Wii Fit to sell extremely well in Japan (which it has) and I expect it to sell well in Europe and NA to lesser degrees.
I expect SSBB to sell very well in America, and to a lesser amount, the rest of the world. I could be wrong but that's how I see it.
Either way you put it, the Wii and it's ~20m userbase cannot handle two titles so vastly different selling 15m apiece, no matter how large it grows. Look at every other bit of history in the industry and NOTHING has had that kind of disparity in sales, demographic, and userbase.
Is the Wii different? Hell yeah, I think it is.
But it ain't that different.
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