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Slimebeast on 27 March 2011
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Barozi said:
themanwithnoname said:

Rage should be very likely. Portal 2 should be maybe.


I'd have put Rage under very likely if it came out next month, but the release date is sometime in the middle of September. Furthermore it's a new IP and it's more of a singleplayer game.

I think Brink has better chances to reach 1m this year.

 

Portal 2.... that's really hard to judge but a lot of people bought The Orange Box and got portal Still Alive and this time it's a full fledged game with a full co-op campaign. Needless to say it's surely going to be a GOTY contender and coming out next month. Should be enough time.

Rage is a lock to hit 1 million before the year is over. 500K first week and then it's got steady high sales over the whole Holiday season.  As a comparison, Fallout New vegas was over 2 million before 2011 was over, now Rage while a new IP should be able to do half of that easily.

Portal 2 same thing, easily 1 mill before year is over. Hype is big and reviews are going to be crazy high.