Nintendo holding off till 2015, is that even possible?

[Mr Khan]

dharh said:

Mr Khan said:

dharh said:

Wii2 in 2015? Heck no.

Nintendo will release late 2012 for christmas possibly early 2013 if something forces them to. They will continue with short 5 year releases, so in 2017-2018 we get Wii3 (or whatever they name it).

X360 and PS3 will stabalize with Wii2, and wont release until at least a year after, possibly 2-3 years after Wii2. After all, if Wii2 does not offer anything _more_ than what the X360 and PS3 can offer what is the incentive? The X360 and PS3 will only seem outdated if the Wii2 does something new to truly enhance gameplay or beefs up already existing stuff (more processing power, better motion precision, etc).

We will see 2-3 Nintendo console release per 1-2 MS/SONY console release. Nintendo usually goes for short iterative style, where SONY/MS prefer a heavy hitter that lasts longer.

?

No?

Used to be generations were in-line with each other. Only now are people only speculating that Sony and Microsoft can last longer than the normal generation, and they bought that by tremendously overshooting the market in the first few years or so, but Nintendo products have traditionally had more longevity than Microsoft ones (the Xbox ditched quickly), and on-par with Sony on the console front.

Only Nintendo has maintained a single platform for ten years so far, and that was the competitionless Game Boy

MS is still too new, so frankly they have zero history whether they can maintain long console life considering their failure in the original XBOX.

However, there are a few reasons why I think there is a shift in strategy that makes SONY differ from Nintendo.

One, SONY has always intended for PS3 to last as long as PS2 at the very least. From PS2 release to PS3 release was a little over 6 years. While GC to Wii was a little over 5 years. I think this time SONY will go for 7 years, at least and as I said could go longer, between PS3 to PS4. Which would peg PS4 at 2013-2014. Whereas I think Wii will stick with 5 years, pegging it at 2011-2012.

The GC was at least comparably as powerful as PS2. It could compete very well control wise and power wise with both the PS2 and the XBOX. This is simply not the case with the Wii and PS3/X360.

You can argue that the controls made it competative, but I think simply that the two install bases (motion controls and non-motion controls) simply do not mix. Only us hard core who typically own multiple consoles every generation. Now PS3 and X360 have their own versions of motion controls, this alone suggests an extension of at least 2 years from now before either one of those two consoles are going to want to deflate sales.

So again I say, the Wii2 will compete half its life between PS3/X360 and the other half between (maybe the larger half) PS4/X720.

I wouldn't argue with that logic, but you made it sound like this was a historical trend, which it really isn't.