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dany612 on 24 March 2011
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naznatips said:
dany612 said:
Nintendogamer said:
dany612 said:

This is going to sell 150 confirmed! Unlike the DS, the 3DS is starting huge.


LOl DS isn't far off 150M as we speak!


Well I was trying to say that it will sell far more than 150M, and beat DS LTD. 

Some argue it won't reach DS level which I find absurd. 


I argue it won't reach DS level, and you'll hardly find a bigger fan of the DS anywhere than me. Of course it won't reach DS level. It's clear that the DS's expansion market (the people who bought it for Brain Age, etc.) has largely moved on to smartphones, and without that the DS never makes 100 million, much less 150 million. That audience also doesn't care about 3D... at all. 

What this leads to is the 3DS having a better core market audience, at least early on, but lacking a big chunk of those long-term sales. I think lifetime it makes around 100 million units sold, and is thus incredibly successful and profitable. It will also likely get incredible Japanese software support, maybe even better thant he original DS with how much the NGP seems to be ignoring the East. With a more core-focused audience it should also have a great attach ratio, unlike, say, the Wii. 

In a sense I actually want the mobile phone market to eat pie away from the 3DS because I want Nintendo to actually make a phone compatible version or system in the future. Though let's not compare oranges to lemons. The technology market is dynamic and yes anything can happen and any product can influence consumer buying decisions.

It all comes down to quality, innovation, and marketing. If Nintendo can consistently push quality games, the system will sell. It has great 3rd party support, the biggest for Nintendo in quite some time. 3D is one of the system's innovations and its highest selling point. If Nintendo can push this into marketing and as a great entertainment medium it will reach DS levels. Of course surpassing the DS is questionable. Of course smartphones are competition, but in the end it's all about being different. The 3DS brings an experience that one can not have on current phones. It will also have games with higher value.

Kinect is a great example of this. It has already sold nearly 10 million despite its 150 price tag. Consumers buy for quality and especially for fun when it comes to gaming. Avatar shows that the mass is interested in 3D. Many surveys have been conducted and it favors 3D.