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Darth Tigris said:

Several years back (before Kinect was even talked about), I said 2013 based on 1) console pricing at the time and 2) profitability (or rather lack there of) for the PS360.  

Now that Kinect has introduced, I could see anything from between 2013 and 2015 so I have no issue with this.  

Also I think its important to keep in mind that developers aren't eager for the next gen yet either.  In addition, better graphics just aren't going to be enough next time.  Heck, this gen was the jump to HD.  How do you top THAT jump in visual fidelity?  2015 means motion control interfaces and 3D will have had more time to mature and prices to reduce.

Most importantly, though, it gives us time as GAMERS to spend our money on GAMES rather than saving up for the next $500 console ...

For a while I'd been thinking in time for 2013 holidays or maybe early 2014, but I could see 2015 based on Kinect success and continued developer concerns over costs.  Pushing it back 12 months if Kinect continues to extend 360 peak and putting more work into the SDK to ease development cost/effort could work.

On the other hand, Kow is clearly hinting someone's whispered some info in his ear...

I guess time will tell.  I currently feel the stretch between late 2013 and 2015 will for sure produce new Sony/MS consoles.  It's Nintendo I'm more uncertain about.  Will they ride the tail with Wii given it's overall still far ahead and selling more software than the HD consoles or will they decide to try and disrupt the others?



Try to be reasonable... its easier than you think...