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kowenicki said:
phinch1 said:
kowenicki said:

So.. lets get some perspective again, I dont understand why people have such short memorties.

No console here is doing amazingly.

YOY

360 UP 3% (5000)

PS3 DOWN 21% (50,000)

Wii DOWN 36% (96,000)

 

This gen has peaked...  Yep. 


Nahh another ps3 price drop and after an amazing boom in sales i think it would sit comfortably  50-70k up this time next year.

Of course you do... but you'd be wrong.  The market is finite... it doesnt go on forever. 

Last gens home console sales reached: 188m  (actually skewed as PS2 still sells in poorer countries)

This gen we are already at: 187m

This gen will fall YOY after 2011... no doubt about that at all.  I'm sure ioi and the Source would agree with me.

I think Wii has expanded the saturation point by about 50 million. And with developing countries increasing in wealth there's even more potential for market expansion over the previous generation. Still the great majority of home consoles have already been sold this generation, and the consolez warz is being fought on a rapidly diminishing battlefield. I think this gen can sell another 50-70 million consoles before it's tapped out. So, 2-3 years. It could last a bit longer for PS360 if Pachter's fabled "Wii owners wanting to upgrade to HD" are real and not just a myth. Though Wii2 HD will do the trick just as well.



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