kowenicki said:
Of course you do... but you'd be wrong. The market is finite... it doesnt go on forever. Last gens home console sales reached: 188m (actually skewed as PS2 still sells in poorer countries) This gen we are already at: 187m This gen will fall YOY after 2011... no doubt about that at all. I'm sure ioi and the Source would agree with me. |
I think Wii has expanded the saturation point by about 50 million. And with developing countries increasing in wealth there's even more potential for market expansion over the previous generation. Still the great majority of home consoles have already been sold this generation, and the consolez warz is being fought on a rapidly diminishing battlefield. I think this gen can sell another 50-70 million consoles before it's tapped out. So, 2-3 years. It could last a bit longer for PS360 if Pachter's fabled "Wii owners wanting to upgrade to HD" are real and not just a myth. Though Wii2 HD will do the trick just as well.
“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell
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