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Sony need to ship more 2.8m between 1st January and 31th March to match their prediction.

Jan-Feb NPD: 717k
Jan-Feb MC: 210k

So between EMEAA Jan-Mar and US Mar and JP Mar Sony needs more 1.9m sales... but shipped number are always bigger than sales so 1.5 million is a easy bet.

Sony will EASY met it's prediction.

Edit - Fixed.