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trestres said:

How long before a 3DS game tops the chart?

Not looking likely in March, save for the last week, unless DQMJ2 Professional on DS prevents it, as there's Naruto and Baseball games for the 3DS which would be the biggest launches next to the DQ spinoff.

First week of April perhaps? One Piece could be big enough to top the charts.

If it doesn't happen in any of those weeks, unless some games show big legs, I won't expect it to happen until after E3 with Zelda OoT

It'll be One Piece week, it's easily the biggest title that week and there's not really anything beforehand with legs guaranteed to put it ahead.  I think One Piece 3DS could be huge though, even though it's a port.

Naruto 3DS will probably do okay, but not lead it's week (DQMJ2Pro will, for sure).  The 3DS baseball games will somewhat cannibalize each other upfront, and Konami's game will probably sell more on PS3/PSP 1st week anyway.

There's a slim chance Gundam or DOA might do it their week, but I think FFIV PSP will come out ahead.