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Soleron said:

http://www.gametrailers.com/video/gdc-11-zelda-skyward/711140

http://static.arstechnica.net/assets/2011/03/nintendo_gdc_intro-thumb-640xauto-19924.jpg

Disclaimers: Yes I am judging immediately from very limited screenshots/video, and flop means in financial expectations of Nintendo not that it won't sell a million.

Mario 3DS

Look at the screenshot. Particularly the left edge of the lower left image. It's the edge of a floating platform. Also the ? block. It's reusing art assets from Galaxy/Galaxy 2.

It's Super Mario Galaxy 3.

Due to this and being in the same position as Super Mario 64 DS (3D Mario near launch), I think it will sell less than either of SMG2 and SM64DS and be the weakest selling main Mario game ever. From what I can see it has nothing to attract new people to Mario if they didn't already like Galaxy; it doesn't look like a coherent Mushroom Kingdom and looks like a linear series of arbitrary platforming challenges (contrast Mario 64's large worlds to explore).

i don't understand how you can glean that much from four screenshots, way to early to make a judgement on this