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Sales Discussion - EMEAA Up - View Post

ethomaz said:
Michael-5 said:
CGI-Quality said:
Michael-5 said:

I know you never claimed GT5 will surpass GT4 sales, but in order for GT5 to surpass 10 million, it must hold sales relativly close to GT4's. That why I keep referencing it.

Not really. It could sell 500,000 less than GT4 and it would still be over 10 million in the end. It's already sold most of what it needs to to compare with GT4 and has shipped more than GT4 did in the same time frame.

GT4 sold 10.61 million units, and it's still going up slowly. After 13 weeks, GT4 sold 5.4 million. Meaning post 13 weeks, the game sold 5.2 million. GT5 has to sell 4.4 million units to break 10 million. 4.4/5.2 is 0.846.

Basically speaking, GT5 needs to hold 84% of GT4's weekly sales to match GT5 sales. This I consider relativly close. It's currently holding 66% at best.

This is why I reference GT4, GT5 just isn't showing as strong legs as GT4. It's still early to tell, but if this trend keeps up GT5 will not break 10 million. Actually at this rate it will only sell 8.3 million, but I'll admit the game will probably do a bit better then that. PS4 is further away then PS3 was when GT4 came out, but GT6 will not take over 5 years to develop this time. They are not going to rebuild a new engine for 1 game, and do it again, especially since GT1-4 run on the same engine.

I have a question... if ioi change GT5 data next week you may confirm your predicition?

He won't change it because if he does all he said till now will become... well you se...

And not to mention that on PD website,

Gran Turismo 4 11,190

And don't even expect 580k on shelves for a game that came out in 2005. Ioi just don't know where to update the data (yet it's easy, a bit in NA, a lot in EMEAA)

Yet again you're saying that GT5 is selling worse than GT4 after it's 6th week, but just wait till we see what ioi does with the data, because at the end of the year, we had GT5 at less than 5m, compared to 6.37 shipped, for me that's impossible because it's common sense, next quarter if they announce the game at 7m by the end of March, and we had it at 5.7m (because that's what gonna happen if the data doesn't change) then: retailers are buying copies of the game but the game doesn't sell, you see that's impossible. But as CGI said stick with your prediction.