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Immortal said:

I can't see MSM reaching 5m, if that, so probably not. Nintendo needs another real Mario IP akin to MK and NSMB.

Mario Party got pretty huge before they killed it.  I think NdCube will bring the series back though, but as a "once in a generation" sort of way, like NSMB and Mario Kart.

The Mario RPGs are pretty big sellers too.  Can't wait for Paper Mario 3.