How close will PS360 come to Wii??

[BenVTrigger]

Viper1 said:

Seece said:

X360 in Americas and PS3 in EMEAA more specifically.

Currently:

X360 is 10.2 million behind Wii in Americas
PS3 is 10.3 million behind Wii in EMEAA

X360 outsold Wii in Americas this week by over 50k, and PS3 outsold Wii in EMEAA by 23k.

In America, since June 2010 360 has been dominant, save for December when there were shortages. But January resumed normal practice. PS3 is making huge strides in EMEAA, Asia ect, and will sell bucket loads when it's £149 and lower.

So how close will X360 get to Wii in Americas, and how close will PS3 get to Wii in EMEAA?

Well, if we use your numbers....

X360 will pass Wii in the US in 204 weeks.  About 4 years.
PS3 will pass Wii in EMEAA in 447 weeks.  About 8.6 years.

And that's just assuming that Nintendo will sit on their ass and do absolutely nothing to increase sales between now and those dates.

And your post is assuming there won't be weeks with bigger gaps than just the 50k and 23k that we see this week.  What about during holiday months if the 360 continues to dominate and sells higher than Wii by several hundreds of thousand of units instead of less than a 100k.

The way I see it, it all comes down to how long this gen keeps going.  The longer it lasts the closer the HD twins will get to it.  The WIi is really starting to show its ageing hardware now, and you can get arguably as good or better motion controls on the other systems.  The fact is Pachter was right and Nintendo should have already been prepping the release of a new home console and I think the delay will indeed hurt them.  Nintendo absolutley has to launch a new home console next holiday or their time of domination is gonna come to a stop.