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Actually there is one highly unlikely scenario which could cause MGS4 to go to the 360 and not the PS3: - MGS4 is delayed into late next year - PS3 gets the plug pulled on it after this holiday - Kojima decides to not bother releasing it on PS3 and spends the rest of the time making it work on 360 And yeah there's no way Wii passes 360 in NA by July 31st, though worldwide is possible if a stretch. As for the rest, the predictions are so far afield that anything can happen.