2008 at Bruceongames

[Bruceongames]

HappySqurriel said:

Bruceongames said:

Fastrabbit09 said:

Bruceongames said:
HDTV puts about four times the number of pixels on the screen. When consumers see this it is such a huge leap in performance that they will want it. At the moment there isn't much true HDTV content so people are generally unaware of the capabilities. But this situation is changing every day as more HDTV is broadcast and more people get HD DVD or Blu-Ray players. Games thus far on the HD consoles have come nowhere near delivering the full HDTV experience. Over 2008 this will gradually change. When it does the results will blow you away. Once people routinely watch broadcast HD television and watch HD videos they will not want to go back to inferior quality. The same will apply to gaming. Once people are fully HD literate they will not want to go back. So what is key to the life of the Wii is how long it takes for people to become fully HD aware (they are generally not there yet) and how long it takes the games industry to make the best of HD graphics. These will not be sudden things. They will ramp up gradually over the next couple of years. What is for absolute certainty is that by Q4 2009 the Wii will be seen by most as obsolete technology.

here you go, looking at it from YOUR perspective again

a) consumers in large aren't super excited about hdtv...25% of hdtv owners think they are watching hdtv when they are watching sd content; 56% don't even put any hd content on their hdtv

 b) i have had hdtvs for 5 years now and will pretty much only watch tv on HD channels; i am an hd fanatic; yet, i am JUST FINE with 480p dvds and 480p wii games...and i'm an hd snob; your average consumer will care even less than i do...consumers want to play games that are fun, not games that look pretty

c) my sis-in-law, wife, parents, grandparents, aunts, uncles, etc etc will NOT care about ps3/360...they would at most watch me for 5 mins to be in awe of the graphics and then get bored; and they would NEVER pick up the controller and play it...however, they will play the wii and many even have gone out and BOUGHT the wii because they like it so much

hdtv isn't as important as YOU personally think and in MANY peoples' minds, the 360/ps3 are using outdated technology...99% of the games on those systems could be made on ps2/xbox and be the same besides the updated graphics...their CONTROLLERS are OBSOLETE

people don't care about graphic/sound quality as much as many people think

 

And you are looking at it from YOUR perspective. Even worse you are looking at how things are today. I am looking 2 to 3 years ahead.

Take a moment and consider one potential outcome 2 or 3 years from now ...

Suppose that the Wii continues to sell as well (or better due to supply) in 2008 as it did in 2007 while the PS3 and XBox 360 continue at their same rate (mainly because they're so expensive). For most of 2008 third party publishers will continue to increase development of Wii games, and are likely to begin development of larger and more impressive Wii games for 2009.

In 2009 due to the high volume, quantity and quality of Wii games (as well as the lower price of the system) do you really expect consumers to jump onto the XBox 360/PS3 bandwagon?

The longer the Wii dominates the more third parties will be focusing on the Wii and the more difficult it will be to steal the Wii's momentium; over the next 12 to 24 months most PS2 and PSP development teams will begin projects on a current generation platform due to shrinking software sales on those platforms, if/when the Wii gets the lion's share of these development resources it will be practically impossible for the XBox 360 or PS3 to stage a comeback.

But those Wii games will not (in general) be as good as the PS3/360 games. Fact. And the release shedules I have seen for this year have 360 as the most popular platform. The HD consoles have much more power for AI and physics. Plus vastly superior graphics. Also I think you will find that Microsoft will be very agressive on price in 2008. So cheap that a lot of you guys will buy one just for GTA. Plus the Wii will just look and perform like old technology. The thing about fashion is that people move on.