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3DS online is pretty good i think, so thats one of the most important factors.

Selling millions of consoles before the end of 2011 is THE most important factor though. Waiting untill E3, but odds dictate that Nintendos moneyhatting of rpg content in japan is likely to continue.

http://www.andriasang.com/e/blog/2011/02/09/famitsu_readers_ngp/

^ If Nintendo poach MH4 from Sony its going to be a tough few years for the NGP, even if theres a long wait for its release.



“When we make some new announcement and if there is no positive initial reaction from the market, I try to think of it as a good sign because that can be interpreted as people reacting to something groundbreaking. ...if the employees were always minding themselves to do whatever the market is requiring at any moment, and if they were always focusing on something we can sell right now for the short term, it would be very limiting. We are trying to think outside the box.” - Satoru Iwata - This is why corporate multinationals will never truly understand, or risk doing, what Nintendo does.