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dany612 said:
RolStoppable said:
archbrix said:

Good points, Rol.  If they can indeed sell even close to 1m day one, they've probably got it in the bag.  However if it doesn't sell out immediately and it's dependant upon software to make up the difference, that's the wild card. 

Nintendogs/Cats and Street Fighter will likely be the biggest sellers, and neither of those will sell units on day one like a new SMB would.

Eh, the 3DS pretty much needs an attach rate of two games per system, so having one game that overshadows everything wouldn't necessarily be all that beneficial. Oddly enough it could be counterproductive as more people would just buy that one must have game instead of picking up two semi-big games in an attempt to "justify" their hardware purchase.

You all are aware of how 'big' Nintendogs was with the casual crowd? It surpassed 20 million, do NOT underestimate its power. But then again we are talking about day one, and I doubt casuals buy systems day one o_0.

What software will be available day one though?

Your @bolded answered your post; that's exactly what I meant.  Nintendogs is a "legs" game.  Four little legs, in fact, that will keep on walking for millions and millions of units.  And while I think it'll do great on day one, it won't do what Mario or Zelda would for 3DS' launch.  But like Rol stated, one game that overshadows everything else could very well be counterproductive to moving quantity...  unless some people buy the unit by itself initially just for the built-in games (which are supposed to be pretty cool) while they wait for something else.

I don't think they've announced the "official" NA launch lineup yet.  Nintendogs and Street Fighter are very likely (whereas Layton will take a while to translate), but we know that Ocarina and SMB definitely won't be there.