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Sales - 2008 at Bruceongames - View Post

Avinash_Tyagi said:
Bruceongames said:
This is a gradual process.
12 months from now the Wii will probably still be quite hot.
24 months from now the Wii will probably be seen as being just as obsolete as the PS2.

This timing is very approximate and either or both could move by as much as 12 months. That doesn't make it less inevitable.

It is no good talking about previous generations of console because that is not what we are talking about. The paragrim shift here is that we are talking (for the first time in our industry) about a new generation of television.

Obviously the Wii right now is a big bundle of fun. It was the toy of choice in Q4 2007. But a lot of this was down to it being a craze or fad. Like hoola hoops once were. This will not continue when it is generally seen as being out of date.

Over lifetime the PS3 and 360 will both sell more than Wii. This is because they will have 10 year product lives.

 The big problem with your arguments is you are a gmer trying to view it as a gamer, Wii is a console that targets a much wider demographic than the PS2 or any other console.

 

You forget that most people don't care about HD, they buy a LCD or a plasma screen because it looks cool and they like it for its digital picture, now note digital is not the same as HD, digital includes SDTV, EDTV and HDTV, but most owners of HDTV only use it for SDTV and EDTV, not HD, they don't have HD signals, and don't care.

 

Most people who see the Wii games are impressed by its graphics, my dad was commenting how amazing Mario and Sonic looked and Mario and Sonic isn't even a top graphics game


I am not viewing this as a gamer. I am viewing it as an industry professional marketeer. Just because the Wii is the hot toy today does not mean that it will be the hot toy tomorrow. History has taught us this. (This is why there are so few 3rd party AAA titles for it). It has the added disadvantage of using display technology that is rapidly becoming obsolete. And being technically inferior to it's competitors. Wii is headed to being a $99 toy. Even then it will sell less than it did in Q4 2007. It's finest hour has passed.

Incisive and erudite blog by game industry professional.

http://www.bruceongames.com/