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Zlejedi said:

It can overtake PS2 in US/UK/Aus/France in other teritories likely never.

US
15 million to go
9 million in 2010 but donw in 2011 (PS2 2 million in 2010)

So near 2.5 years to catch... but Wii is down and Wii 2 will come first... so no.

UK
2.2 million to go
1.2 million in 2010 but down in 2011 (PS2 60k in 2010)

So near 2.5 years to catch... but Wii is down and Wii 2 will come first... so no.

France
1.2 million to go
900k in 2010  but down in 2011 (PS2 30k in 2010)

Less than 2 years to catch... so maybe (depends 2011 sales).

Aus
200k to go
500k in 2010 but down in 2011 (PS2 30k in 2010)

That the only contrie with real possibility to happen... and will happen this year.