Where will Wii Overtake PS2 LTD first?

[binary solo]

You might think this is an odd question given globally Wii is still only 59% of PS2's LTD. But look a little closer and you'll see that it's not that far away in some places. Not all countries are tracking equal.

Does the answer surprise you? What about the regions where it's furthest away, does that surprise you?

(All figures taken from 29 January 2011 chart)

 

	Wii	PS2	%
Americas	40384489	55351503	72.96
Japan	11452628	23121763	49.53
UK	7810391	10198131	76.59
France	5114735	6314883	80.99
Germany	4065687	5950668	68.32
Iberia	2774401	6509818	42.62
Italy	2690624	5820941	46.22
Scandinavia	1250565	3405183	36.73
Aus/NZ	2308219	2546291	90.65
Other Europe	3565107	7656951	46.56
MEAA	3306477	14993106	22.05
World Wide	84723323	141869238	59.72

It's near certain that PS2 will be overtaken in LTD sales in AUs/NZ some time in 2011. It may happen in France in 2011 too, but more likely will happen in 2012 (unless Wii 2 is being hotly anticipated by then).

Before Wii 2 comes out I think Wii will knock off a few other countries / regions. But I don't see it happening World wide.