1st Qtr 2011 Shipment Predictions

[D-Joe]

thx1139 said:

So much argument going on about shipments so I thought we could simply predict and move on.  We will see outcome in April/May.

YTD VGC Sales Numbers

Console	Total	Last year	Change	% Change
Wii	1,063,539	1,590,861	-527,322	-33%
PS3	993,261	1,110,423	-117,162	-11%
X360	897,409	734,763	162,646	22%

360 - 3M - MS has to replenish from near sellout of 4th qtr 2010, YoY sales up 22%, and MS stated in last qtrly report that they expect revenue to be up 50% YoY in EDD division.

Wii - 2.28M - Nintendo adjusted target from 17.5M to 16M for the year that ends March 31st.  They have sold 13.72M so far.

PS3 - 2.2M - To hit Sony annual prediction made last year Sony needs to ship 2.8M.  Last year they shipped 2.2M which is the most they have ever shipped the 1st qtr.  YoY PS3 is down 11% and seemed to have good supply in the channel.  I expect they will ship the same as last year.

if 2011 Q1 360 really shipped 3m thats up 100% YOY(2010 Q1=1.5m)