| MikeB said: @ The Source MikeB wrote: "You expected Microsoft to have shipped 7.5 million XBox 360s. It was actually 6.3 million, that's 1.2 million you're off. If the PS3 is the only platform you undertracked it's possible Sony sold more PS3s last quarter than Microsoft sold 360s (It sold more than that last year). Hopefully for VGChartz that's not the case." The PS3 and PS2 seem to be the only platforms for which you underestimated the official figures. Both platforms actually sold 300K more units than what you expected. I said this many times in the past. The inaccuracy is compounded by too regularly overtracking certain platforms vs the too regularly undertracking of other platforms. If all platforms are overtracked or undertracked within a normal range of error VGChartz could be taken far more seriously. Or if the overtracking/undertracking per platform alternates somewhat amongst platforms. But history tells us especially Wii and 360 sales are prone to get adjusted downwards in course of time and PS3 figures generally need to be adjusted upwards in course of time. A 1.5 million error gap between for example the XBox 360 and PS3 to the 360's favour is just way too much for a single quarter. I think you owe it to your members, many will now feel foolish for what they wrote based on VGChartz guesstimates, sometime hailing them as facts. |
I partially agree with you MikeB
but i thing the problem is that each market is unique and different. Like recently i posted an article which said that based on NPD GT5 did 579.5k in November and 1.14M in November and December.. I thought 579.5 k was for US November but later on educated members told me that 579.5k was for Cananda and USA for November. which means that GT5 did 179.5k alone in Canada which is almost 45% of USA sale whereas VGC consider USA as 85% of whole Americas market (USA Canada Mexico Brazil Argentina etc). Although this is fairly good ball mark for like 50 - 60% of games but for remaining 40 - 50% games and consoles it is fairly to greatly wrong guesstimate. and i think due to this generalization most of the time PS3 gets underestimated and sometime fairly largely. so this might also mean that if GT5 was doing some great numbers than PS3 console might be doing some astonishing numbers (in respect to that market)
So they need to fine tune their estimates and single generalization rule should not be applied for the whole market even if they are neighbouring countries. :)
Just my 2 cents
