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Acevil said:

I think the range will be 15 million gap by launch, and eventually 50 million (plus)   gap at the end. 


I think you're being a little conservative with 15M gap by launch.  The 3DS will launch at least 6-7months before the NGP and casual techies will love to show off this portable glasses-free portable.  Plus, the 3DS will/should have the price advantage over the NGP during both their first Christmas holiday.  IF and that's a big IF Nintendo can keep up with demand and really follow-up with a steady flow of software I could see the 3DS selling around 25-30M by the end of 2011 with NGP selling between 4-6 million from oct11-dec11.