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Alby_da_Wolf said:
Khuutra said:

Mmmm, the fear of users not upgrading to other hardware only really works if those users don't buy games - but they do. They seek out new experiences, and will continue to do so wherever they can.

Games matter, I totally agree (although with some motion control ones, peripheral, game and gameplay become indissolubly tied).

And then we must take into account the part of Wii users that use their Wii as a gym tool.

You have to consider two things as well.

1. The Wii is marketed as an entertainment appliance and it was crafted as such. So long as the appliance still does a good job a lot of users will be loath to replace it. The adoption rate amongst those who didn't have the appliance at first will generally be higher even amongst that same population than when it comes time to replace it.

2. Game sales are a continious variable between different groups at different times. Saying the Wii sells no games is false in an absolute sense but compared to some user groups on the PS3 and 360 it is true if speaking relatively. How many games each group will continue to buy as their library fills out is another important factor, it has been suggested that Wii users go on a buying spree as soon as they get their console but once their library fills out the purchasing rate and the dollars spent drops. NPD also supports this idea.



Tease.