| Darth Tigris said: Well, it's been 4 years and the PS3 has cut the lead about 1 million. At this rate? No. When this year is over, though, there will be several things that we'll likely look back on as factors that either cause the gap to grow, stay the same or shrink (likely all slight). 1) Price cuts - What will be more potent, a $199 PS3 or K360? Not saying either will surely happen, but I can pretty much guarantee that whatever price point the base PS3 drops to, the K360 will be the same. 2) Kinect and Move 2nd gen software - This is more pinned on MS, because Sony hasn't proved to be committed YET to pushing dedicated AAA Move software. Kinect 2nd gen software will either cause sales to increase substantially or maybe drop slightly. It'll still be popular, but whether it'll take sales away from the PS3 will remain to be seen. 3) 3DS and NGP - The cost of these are comparable to new consoles. Will they cut into home console sales? Will the NGP in particular take attention away from the PS3 regarding Sony's marketing efforts? 4) The Economy - It could get worse. 2010 saw a dip in sales and revenue, so the trend could continue. My mostly limited and probably useless take overall? That the gap will INCREASE, but not significantly. It'll stay close enough to give zealots of both sides hope that they're false god will still win ... |
Wow, your take is steals my thoughts almost exactly. I also think that at the end of the year, the Wii will obviously still lead the 360, but by 2-3 million less. The 360 will probably add another million to its lead. But, it will mostly depend on whether M$ has some significant Kinect software at some point...
