EMEAA up!

[Michael-5]

CGI-Quality said:

@ Michael: If we get real technical, there were 78-82 million PS2's in the world when GT4 launched. GT5 launched on a fanbase of 42 million PS3s, and to the tune of just 216K units less than GT4. I knew the fan base difference would have little impact on initial sales and I think the weekly differences won't have as much impact either (because GT5 may have been in the Top 10 much more had it launched outside of a holiday period, but we can't do much more than strictly speculate there).

Besides, I never argued that GT5 would pass GT4, I don't think it will, but I do think it'll reach 10 million in the end.

You and I both know install base is meaningless. Even if you ignore the fact that GT3 was bundled, it would have still sold close to 10 million units, and when it was released weren't their only 20 million or so PS2's?

As for opening week sales, 200k is not that different, but GT4 did that in February/March where GT5 had November. Probably wouldn't make a big difference on some medium sized games (like LBP), but do you think Halo or CoD would open to 4-5 million per console had they released in February? It's a different type of game, but still I think early GT5 numbers are inflated, especially weeks 2-8 because they are released during the holiday. Had this game come out in February I would expect initial sales to be 500k - 1 million less, which is enough to have the game match my predicted sales.

I know your prediction for GT5, it's not that different then mine 9.4 versus 10 million? I think the real arguement is will it be a 10 million seller?