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Pineapple on 27 January 2011
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Mummelmann said:
Pineapple said:
Mordred11 said:

The people that think this is going to sell more than the DS are a bit delusional,no offence.My bet is around 100M.

On what basis are they delusional? A generation has, up until now, never seen a decrease from the previous one. The PsP2 is unlikely to sell more than the PsP. If we assume that it ties the original, you're looking at a decrease from ~ 235 million to around 170 million, or a drop of 27% out of practically nowhere.


Key words; "up until now", Sony are going to end up way below the PS2 and the 3DS is very unlikely to outsell the DS. The market is moving so quickly now compared to previous generations and I can't see any home console beating the PS2's lifetime sales either anytime soon. Not to mention smart devices, which are bound to have an effect on dedicated handheld consoles; the market conditions just aren't there for a device like the 3DS, in my opinion.

I'm talking about absolute sales of the generation, not of any specific machine. I personally can't see the 3DS PsP2 selling much less than the DS PsP, as it's directly the opposite of anything that's happened before.

I have no trouble seeing the Wii 2 sell less than the Wii, though. It could easily lose to the next Playstation and Xbox, and thus sell less than the Wii, similarily to what happened with the Ps2.