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trestres said:
TheSource said:

With the new Final Fantasy coming for the holidays for PS3 in Japan you'll probably see Nintendo try to counter with something substantial as we saw in 2009. Ideally, that game would be Dragon Quest X but I don't think Square-Enix will do that, although it would be an enormous quarter for them domestically if they could pull it off somehow. It'd be amusing if it was NSMB Wii 2 against the second real FF for PS3.

Supposedly Wii still has Inazuma Eleven, Zelda, Dragon Quest X, a Hal-Kirby game, Rhythm Heaven, Pikmin 3, Earth Seeker in addition to the games mentioned above. If DQX isn't 2011 then you have to figure Rhythm Heaven / Zelda are the holiday games with the rest as filler. Last Story in Jan / Earth Seeker for April / Inazuma Eleven for Golden Week / Kirby for Obon with various other small games or a price cut as filler. I really wouldn't rule out a big core sequel though - NSMB Wii / DKC Returns 2 - popping up out of nowhere to fill in a slow period. A new Mario Party or Wii Party or Wii Relax could do well.

Actually, the Michael Jackson game from Ubisoft is supposedly coming to Japan - that could be a good filler game. With the success of Epic Mickey, Disney might be pushing for the next Kingdom Hearts console game to be on Wii as well. Epic Mickey is going to do 2-3m at least on Wii - thats enough to justify it I think.

As PSP / DS collapse from PSP2 / 3DS I think a fair amount of PSP / 3DS could be ported to Wii as well, and there is the possibility of PSP2 and PS3 giving each other ports too. All in all, I figure Wii and PS3 will both be right around 1.5m with Wii slightly ahead again on price cuts.

There's no Kirby Wii game, I don't know how many times I told you about that...

And you are way too optimist about Wii's scenario. Everything you said has to happen in order for the Wii to even maitain the sales of last year. Michael Jackson, really? PSP and 3DS games? You know it's not happening. Plus the KH Wii comment must be a joke right?
DQX is not happening until late 2012 I'd say. Pikmin 3 and VS are still vaporware. Earth Seeker will bw lucky to sell 100k. Inazuma Eleven isn't an RPG anymore, I doubt it will be a big hit.

Please have a look at Wii's line up for the yeaer and compare it to PS3's line up. I don't think I need to say anything else. Just look at the Q1 schedule and tell me why Wii isn't going sub 10k soon.

Indeed, it reads like something I'd expect from this guy