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Acevil said:
Seece said:
Nintendogamer said:

So distance between Shipments and slel-through are 1.3M right? 84.63M is a good number considering now they are about 85.10M now and on their way to 90M.

83.60 year end, so exactly 1 million units on shelves ect on Jan 1st, not sure if this is low, high or w/e

I wonder what Nintendo expect from Wii in the next fiscal year ... not entirely sure it'll hit 100 mill by 2012 now.

I doubt it will either seece, but it will most likely do it by next quarter after 2012. 

Oh yeah, defo Q after if not Q4 2011.

(In Calender Year)

Q1 2011 - 84.60 P 2.3 (projected) = 86.9
Q2 2011 - 86.90 P 2.1 (down 940k YOY) = 89.0 (Could be even lower however)
Q3 2011 - 89.0 P 1.2 (down 730k YoY) = 90.2 (again could be lower with no price cut)
Q4 2011 - 90.2 P 9.0 (up 260k YoY) = 99.2 (due to price cut)

That's all very rough, basically the next few Q's (Jan/Mar, Apr/June) are going to be very very tough.

If a price cut occurs in Q3 then sales should be up YoY, but I don't think a Wii price cut will spur sales far beyond what it just did this xmas. Whatever people say, at least in the U.S it's pretty evident Kinect dented Wii sales. And with PS3, 360 and Kinect (possibly) getting a price cut same time as Wii, I don't see it selling masses.

I predict about 98 mill shipped by Dec 31st 2011.