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Monteblanco said:

It will depend of the price. If Sony can get it below US$300, they might have a shot. In any case, I think they will not be as successful as their predecessors. Those devices are too expensive to small kids (a category the DS was king) and much of the older audience are captured by iOS devices. The 3DS doesn't have the impressive battery life of the DS and thus lost a competitive advantage of its predecessor. The NGT repeated many of the problems of the PSP. It is expensive (it will be, don't fool yourselves otherwise), it doesn't fit in a pocket, and the games seems to be reduce versions of table consoles' software.

Look at demographic charts that are published practically every year on Nintendo IR website. They're good enough to discredit this myth or at least show that it's more complicated than you've put that.