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It will depend of the price. If Sony can get it below US$300, they might have a shot. In any case, I think they will not be as successful as their predecessors. Those devices are too expensive to small kids (a category the DS was king) and much of the older audience are captured by iOS devices. The 3DS doesn't have the impressive battery life of the DS and thus lost a competitive advantage of its predecessor. The NGT repeated many of the problems of the PSP. It is expensive (it will be, don't fool yourselves otherwise), it doesn't fit in a pocket, and the games seems to be reduce versions of table consoles' software.

As a portable machine, the PSP was kind of a failure. I loved to play some of the games at the bed at night, but I hardly carried it with me anywhere -- it was too big to fit in my pocket. Also, the battery life was too short to be useful in plane fights, except for the shorter ones. Even if someone brings it around, most of the games were more suitable for longer play sessions, not for the shorter ones that I usually have when playing a portable. It seems the NGT is following the same pattern. Now that I carry an iPod in my pocket and have an iPad at home or with me on my travels, I wonder why I would buy a NGT? Hopefully, Sony can offer a software lineup that I convince me otherwise.