brawl will outsell gta4 COMBINED pretty easily; at least a few million
a) wii will have over 50% market share by this fall
b) smash historically has higher attach rate
c) gtas for ps2 did subsequently better each year as the userbase was bigger; this time the userbase is much smaller
d) a lot of the more casual gamers who bought gta on ps2 are only getting a wii this generation, thus taking away sales
e) legs legs legs...this will be only smash bros for wii (maybe last one ever), whereas there will be another gta within 18-30 months of gta4
smash bros brawl will sell more than any gta has ever sold (15mil is the best gta for a system so far, and gta4 won't top 15mil)
in fact, i'd bet that the 3-year sales of the following games will all beat the 3-year sales of GTA4 on both consoles combined:
super smash bros
super mario galaxy
mario kart
wii fit
wii play
Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08. Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)
Predictions:
Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07 CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbp
