SSBB or GTA4

[albionus]

@Rol, when does a lifetime sales bet come due? You're not planning on posting here well into your retirement years are you?

I have to give this one to GTAIV but not by the margins that GTAIII vs SSBM would indicate. First issue for GTAIV to deal with will be the typical decline in sales of sequels (FF7 sold almost 10 million, FF8 under 8 for example although admittedly GTA hass a bit more checkered up and down sequence). The second issue it will have to deal with is not as many gamers to buy the game. The 360 and PS3 won't equal the PS2's sales combined much less the sales of the PS2 and Xbox. Thirdly, like Halo 3, it will find that it doesn't have a lock on the genre nor will it feel so fresh and new like its predecessor did.

Of course one difficulty with comparing GTA3 is that there were 3 games on 2 seperate consoles for 5 editions total. Their total sales were 45 million or 9 million per edition. My own expectations are for GTA4 to do about 12-14 million combined. SSBB should do much better than SSBM but I don't think it'll doing staggeringly better, more like 10-12 million. It should be enough to beat GTA4 on the 360 alone but I think SSBB will be beaten by a small-decent margin on both systems combined.