| toadslayer72 said: I agree about it being a statistical tie. I was wondering though, as far as these statistics go, what would the difference have to be before one could be declared a clear winner? I'm thinking 15k but what do y'all think? |
Well I think the weekly margin for error is realtively high (given adjustments can be substantial occasionally). So I would say the MoE on any given week is minimum 10%, possibkly more. That means there needs to be a 20% difference between 2 consoles for you to be 99% ceertain one outsold the other. To be reasonably sure that one console definitely outsold the other I think a 10% gap is pretty reliable. So on a 220K week for sales the gap needs to be about 22K to be sure actual sales order = VGC sales order.
This week, given VGC 2k<MC the margin for error very much suggests a tie. Don't recall the 360 number from MC.
Quite surprised at PS3 number in USA. And seriously, can there really be significant shortages of 360 in Americas when 360 is outselling Wii and statistically tied with DS?
I think 360>Wii in Americas in 2011 is likely. PS3>Wii in Japan in 2011 is possible. Wii wins EMEAA is probable.
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