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i really cant see this happening, however i do understandthe "KInect" urge, however i think that Kinect was a holiday hit success as people where looking for consoles for there children etc, i think its momentum will slowly die and this will keep it at 4th position ! remeber the ps3 in Japan has a very weird selliing diagram, even after the holidays it still sold 40k last week...

 

 

so i think the 360 will stay at 4th with the wii at first, ps3 second (until 3DS) etc etc