I still think 12 million, but I acknowledge that it may only break 11 million. Reach is selling about 7% better then Halo 3, and if trends continue, we know Halo: Reach will approach 10 million by the years end.
However this "legs" arguement does hold some ground. When Halo 3 was released, it was "the shooter" to play. CoD was strong, but not as strong as it is today, and there was virtually no competition from Sony. It was one of the biggest games at the time, and we can see that when Halo 3 got 1.3 million simultaneous players on the first weekend, when Reach only broke 800k.
So i dunno whats going to happen. If 343 Studios does make a Halo 1 remake in 2011, that could cut Reach sales, or boost it temporarily. Lets just wait and see, but 11 million is almost certain.
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