| TheSource said: VGC Q4 2010 O-D 10' Shipments Est VGC Q4 2009 O-D 09' Shipments Wii 9.68m 9.50m** 12.14m 11.31m PS3 6.47m 6.00m* 6.88m 6.50m X360 7.36m 7.50m 5.02m 5.20m DS 10.53m 10.20m 12.40m 11.65m PSP 3.82m 3.60m 4.25m 4.20m PS2 1.62m 1.80m 1.95m 2.10m * If this ends up being the real figure, Sony may only ship 14m PS3s - it would take a 3.1m Q1 2011 to hit 15m and USA and Japanese sales look down again, like they were over Q4 2010. Microsoft actually looks like it is on pace to hit 14m in the year to March 2011 as well - but its fiscal year ends in June 2011 not March. ** PS3 & X360 shipments in the Sept 2010 quarter were 6.3m, Wii shipments were 1.93m - over 3 times greater when combined. Shipping 9.5m Wiis vs. 13.5m PS3s & X360s is actually a monumental shift for a quarter - from 13:4 in favor of the HD machines to 7:5 in favor of the HD machines. It would also indicate nearly a full flip back to the June 2010 quarter - when HD machines shipped 3.9m and Wii shipped 3.04m (14:11 in favor of HD) Estimated LTD HW Shipments for December 2010: PS2: 149.40m DS: 145.78m Wii: 85.40m PSP: 67.80m X360: 52.0m PS3: 47.62m Estimated SW Shipments: Wii*: 80m (probably a touch ahead of expectations) PS3: 55m (a touch ahead) X360 - Figures are never given DS*: 41m (probably ahead of expectations) PSP: 17m (in-line) PS2: 5m (in-line) *Sell through data suggests 90m and 50m respectively, but Nintendo's forecasts call for 168m Wii games (w/ bundles) and 110m DS games for the FY - so I doubt the figures will beat those numbers by much. There is also a ton of Wii / DS sw that tends to cleared out for Christmas so it isn't unreasonable for sellthrough in Oct-Dec to be used to thin inventory levels for all the flops that clog up space. LTD SW Estimates / HW Estimates / Games Per AVG User for Dec 2010: PS2: 1526m / 149.4m = 10.2 Games Per AVG PS2 User DS: 814.3m / 145.8m = 5.59 Games Per AVG DS User Wii: 690.0m / 85.4m = 8.08 Games Per AVG Wii User PS3: 405.6m / 47.6m = 8.52 Games Per AVG PS3 User PSP: 288m / 67.8m = 4.25 Games Per AVG PSP User |
I think that TheSource is right about the PS3 shipments coming up short at only 14 million VS the 15 million that they projected to ship.
