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Hephaestos said:

nice analysis, but just one thing.

Do you not account for a higher multiplatform ownership this gen than last? This would boost the "gaming population" and unlike other gens with many ports, this gen, the wii and the HD consoles have a very distinct offering.

(I say this but I myself had 3 consoles of last gen and only 2 of this gen... and i switched from US to EU so i'm totally off that trend :p)

I had all 3 consoles (4 if you include DC) last gen.  This gen?  One.  I can't be the only one that, because of the much higher entry prices and tougher economics, that was forced to be a single platform owner this gen that was multi last gen.  

Not sure how measurable that speculation was ...