| TheSource said: Seece I don't know that X360 will be bigger in 2011 than 2010 without a price cut. Jan-Feb should be down on stock, Nov figures will be tough to match, as will June and Sept. Wii had new genres explode pretty much every year from 2006-2010 to keep pushing it - I'm not sure Kinect will see much more than fitness / dancing games in 2011. Any game made more fun by over 2 players playing or by holding something in hand may not be as big on Kinect as on Wii. Over some 12 month period, maybe June 2010 to May 2011, X360 probably will do 7m or more in the USA, but I don't think it will for Jan-Dec 2011. |
I agree it won't do as well if it doesn't get a price cut, but it seems rather silly to assume it won't get one, I can't see MS going a 3rd xmas without cutting the baseline price. It all depends on if 360 HW AND Kinect get a price cut though, that would ensure it has an xmas on par with last year. Kinect demand is pretty high atm, so as long as they can sort out stock issues by late feb, YoY increase from now to June can offset June - September.
It's difficult to imagin any new genre exploding, if we could forsee that we'd be millionairs. I bet noone though Wii fit would do what it has. Kinect may seem more handicapped, but it's different, and could create something completely original neither of us could predict. That and it's still going to be a fresh product all year and next xmas, more of the same stuff Wii gamers have bought over the years will help it sell, not for as long as it has the Wii, but for 2011 at the least.
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