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I personally think that it will be neither. Wii will continue to dominate, with several big games (SSBB, Mario Kart Wii), and many 3rd party developers will announce titles for the Wii. The battle for second will be close. 360 will dominate America, PS3 will easily take Japan, and Europe will be split. I predict the PS3 by a nose, though it could go either way.