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If we agree that the current gap is 5 million to the 360, then i would guess that there will be a 7million gap at years end.  I do think that if Sony does do a $100 price drop, that there could be significant changes to that.  I think that Microsoft likes their current price point and even if Sony drops their price, Microsoft might not match with Kinect helping it to drive sales.  I think that Microsoft would have no problem keeping the gap the same and having the ability to actually make some $$$ on each console.  They will probably do more value added sales through the retailers...  So, if Sony does drop $100, i think the gap stays the same at 5 million.